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Liverpool City CouncilPopulation forecast

Busby

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Busby indicate a 3.8% decrease in population under working age, a 15.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Liverpool City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Busby - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43487.63327.23106.8-38
5 to 94018.83888.43507.7-51
10 to 1445910.14429.53978.7-63
15 to 193818.34419.53938.6+12
20 to 242966.53327.23397.4+43
25 to 293026.62525.42665.8-36
30 to 342726.02755.92515.5-21
35 to 393126.82916.32695.9-43
40 to 442495.52766.02455.4-4
45 to 492064.52385.12435.3+37
50 to 542585.72224.82495.4-9
55 to 593076.72585.62535.5-54
60 to 642365.22685.82134.7-22
65 to 691593.52064.51834.0+24
70 to 741302.81483.21954.3+65
75 to 79701.51112.41994.4+129
80 to 841002.2571.21312.9+32
85 and over731.6942.0891.9+16
Total persons4,558100.04,629100.04,574100.0+17
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Busby was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 60 and account for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 442 persons.

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