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Lismore CityPopulation forecast

Lismore City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Lismore City indicate a 3.3% increase in population under working age, a 38.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Lismore City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lismore City - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,4365.52,5895.42,7505.4+314
5 to 92,8536.52,8476.03,0486.0+195
10 to 142,8196.42,9386.23,1526.2+333
15 to 192,8876.52,8035.92,9915.9+103
20 to 242,6215.92,6105.52,7385.4+117
25 to 292,3325.32,3655.02,5174.9+185
30 to 342,3895.42,5885.42,7665.4+377
35 to 392,5185.72,8386.03,0265.9+509
40 to 442,7366.22,9996.33,2076.3+471
45 to 492,9406.73,0596.43,3076.5+367
50 to 543,2407.33,1096.53,4016.7+162
55 to 593,4547.83,1266.63,3776.6-77
60 to 643,1987.23,0336.43,1866.2-12
65 to 692,5945.92,9166.12,9625.8+367
70 to 741,7624.02,7115.72,6745.2+912
75 to 791,3343.02,2684.82,3774.7+1,043
80 to 849112.11,6133.41,9663.9+1,055
85 and over1,1092.51,2042.51,5793.1+470
Total persons44,132100.047,616100.051,023100.0+6,891
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Lismore City was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 949 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 3,126 persons.

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