City of KwinanaPopulation forecast
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Parmelia

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Parmelia will increase by an average of 36 dwellings per annum to 3,312 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Kwinana. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2011-2016 dwelling additions are based on an assessment of major site activity and building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Bertram North structure plan future potential - 159 dwellings (2023-2028)
  • Cassia North estate - 59 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Cassia Rise estate stage 1 - 101 dwellings (2016-2021)
  • Cassia Rise estate stage 2 - 325 dwellings (2020-2027)
  • Low level of infill development (1-9 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 3,312 2035 Total dwellings: 3,306 2034 Total dwellings: 3,301 2033 Total dwellings: 3,295 2032 Total dwellings: 3,288 2031 Total dwellings: 3,284 2030 Total dwellings: 3,278 2029 Total dwellings: 3,273 2028 Total dwellings: 3,269 2027 Total dwellings: 3,254 2026 Total dwellings: 3,235 2025 Total dwellings: 3,197 2024 Total dwellings: 3,132 2023 Total dwellings: 3,063 2022 Total dwellings: 2,958 2021 Total dwellings: 2,859 2020 Total dwellings: 2,752 2019 Total dwellings: 2,710 2018 Total dwellings: 2,675 2017 Total dwellings: 2,622 2036 Total dwellings: 3,312 2035 Total dwellings: 3,306 2034 Total dwellings: 3,301 2033 Total dwellings: 3,295 2032 Total dwellings: 3,288 2031 Total dwellings: 3,284 2030 Total dwellings: 3,278 2029 Total dwellings: 3,273 2028 Total dwellings: 3,269 2027 Total dwellings: 3,254 2026 Total dwellings: 3,235 2025 Total dwellings: 3,197 2024 Total dwellings: 3,132 2023 Total dwellings: 3,063 2022 Total dwellings: 2,958 2021 Total dwellings: 2,859 2020 Total dwellings: 2,752 2019 Total dwellings: 2,710 2018 Total dwellings: 2,675 2017 Total dwellings: 2,622 2036 Forecast development: 6 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 6 2033 Forecast development: 7 2032 Forecast development: 4 2031 Forecast development: 6 2030 Forecast development: 5 2029 Forecast development: 4 2028 Forecast development: 15 2027 Forecast development: 19 2026 Forecast development: 38 2025 Forecast development: 65 2024 Forecast development: 69 2023 Forecast development: 105 2022 Forecast development: 99 2021 Forecast development: 107 2020 Forecast development: 42 2019 Forecast development: 35 2018 Forecast development: 53 2017 Forecast development: 36
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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