City of KwinanaPopulation forecast
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Wellard (West)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wellard (West) indicate a 115.2% increase in population under working age, a 201.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 95.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kwinana is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellard (West) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 483510.31,65810.01,5148.6+679
5 to 95977.41,2877.81,2907.3+693
10 to 144165.11,0326.21,1456.5+729
15 to 194565.61,0496.31,1426.5+686
20 to 246948.61,2497.51,2387.0+544
25 to 2994111.61,5279.21,3417.6+400
30 to 341,13014.01,6069.71,3707.8+240
35 to 397449.21,5409.31,3717.8+627
40 to 445316.61,3848.31,2967.4+765
45 to 494625.71,1116.71,2727.2+810
50 to 543994.98004.81,1466.5+747
55 to 592913.66543.99375.3+646
60 to 642292.85863.57514.3+522
65 to 691612.04532.76203.5+459
70 to 741151.42961.84942.8+379
75 to 79600.71961.23622.1+302
80 to 84260.31260.82131.2+187
85 and over70.1410.2990.6+92
Total persons8,094100.016,594100.017,602100.0+9,508

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 99 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 362 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 494 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 620 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 751 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 937 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,272 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,296 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,371 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,370 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,341 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,238 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,145 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,514 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 196 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 586 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 654 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 800 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,111 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,384 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,540 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,606 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,527 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,249 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,049 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,032 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,287 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,658 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 115 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 161 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 462 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 531 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 744 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,130 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 941 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 694 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 456 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 416 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 597 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 835
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 87 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 166 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -88 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -235 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -186 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 93 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -143 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 363 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 649 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 853 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 796 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 586 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 555 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 593 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 616 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 690 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 823
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellard (West) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 14.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 853 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,658 persons.

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