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City of KwinanaPopulation forecast

Wellard (East)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wellard (East) indicate a 289.2% increase in population under working age, a 195.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 188.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellard (East) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellard (East) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 415010.747610.94629.3+312
5 to 9886.34289.84479.0+359
10 to 14775.53227.43927.9+315
15 to 19684.92756.33707.4+302
20 to 2414810.63367.73607.2+212
25 to 2920114.44289.83727.5+171
30 to 3416611.946210.64028.1+236
35 to 39926.64009.23887.8+296
40 to 44856.13187.33587.2+273
45 to 49825.92315.33336.7+251
50 to 54553.91734.02785.6+223
55 to 59735.21493.42204.4+147
60 to 64282.01092.51713.4+143
65 to 69392.8992.31412.8+102
70 to 74282.0531.21052.1+77
75 to 7990.6501.1861.7+77
80 to 8430.2340.8481.0+45
85 and over80.6210.5470.9+39
Total persons1,400100.04,364100.04,978100.0+3,578
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellard (East) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 340 and account for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 476 persons.

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