City of KwinanaPopulation forecast
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Wellard (East)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wellard (East) indicate a 289.2% increase in population under working age, a 195.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 188.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kwinana is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellard (East) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 415010.747610.94629.3+312
5 to 9886.34289.84479.0+359
10 to 14775.53227.43927.9+315
15 to 19684.92756.33707.4+302
20 to 2414810.63367.73607.2+212
25 to 2920114.44289.83727.5+171
30 to 3416611.946210.64028.1+236
35 to 39926.64009.23887.8+296
40 to 44856.13187.33587.2+273
45 to 49825.92315.33336.7+251
50 to 54553.91734.02785.6+223
55 to 59735.21493.42204.4+147
60 to 64282.01092.51713.4+143
65 to 69392.8992.31412.8+102
70 to 74282.0531.21052.1+77
75 to 7990.6501.1861.7+77
80 to 8430.2340.8481.0+45
85 and over80.6210.5470.9+39
Total persons1,400100.04,364100.04,978100.0+3,578

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 105 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 141 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 171 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 278 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 358 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 388 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 402 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 372 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 360 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 370 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 392 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 447 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 462 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 318 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 400 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 462 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 336 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 322 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 9 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 39 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 82 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 92 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 148 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 68 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 77 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 150
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 40 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -60 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -56 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 70 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 340 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 326
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellard (East) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 340 and account for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 476 persons.

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