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City of KnoxPopulation forecast

Wantirna

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Wantirna indicate a 4.3% increase in males under working age, a 2.3% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 17.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Knox is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wantirna - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44005.74255.54885.4+88
5 to 94967.14986.45856.5+89
10 to 144836.95156.66056.7+122
15 to 193995.75266.86026.7+203
20 to 243935.65086.55776.4+184
25 to 293625.24445.75165.7+153
30 to 344286.15166.65926.6+165
35 to 395007.16037.77047.8+205
40 to 445207.46017.77218.0+201
45 to 494346.25467.06757.5+241
50 to 544206.04846.25976.6+176
55 to 593815.44095.35325.9+150
60 to 644356.23774.84655.2+30
65 to 694196.03094.03814.2-38
70 to 744005.73073.92973.3-103
75 to 792323.32983.82612.9+29
80 to 841722.52563.32012.2+29
85 and over1472.11692.21962.2+50
Total persons7,019100.07,789100.08,995100.0+1,976
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Wantirna was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 128 and account for 6.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 603 males.

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