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City of KnoxPopulation forecast

Rowville (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rowville (North) indicate a 19.2% decrease in males under working age, a 52.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 9.6% decrease in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Rowville (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rowville (North) - Total males201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42476.12195.72045.5-43
5 to 93268.12346.12205.9-106
10 to 143127.72626.92476.7-65
15 to 193659.13027.92587.0-108
20 to 242937.32586.72316.2-62
25 to 292075.12265.91985.4-9
30 to 341984.92175.72085.6+10
35 to 392656.62386.22366.4-29
40 to 443057.62366.22386.4-67
45 to 493197.92386.22216.0-98
50 to 543278.12516.62075.6-120
55 to 592676.62496.51925.2-75
60 to 641854.62556.71995.4+15
65 to 691383.42145.61985.3+60
70 to 74942.31554.11975.3+103
75 to 79892.21253.31955.3+106
80 to 84531.3812.11534.1+100
85 and over431.1601.61022.7+59
Total persons4,033100.03,819100.03,704100.0-329
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Rowville (North) was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 76 and account for 5.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 302 males.

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