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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

Moorabbin - Highett Planning Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Moorabbin - Highett Planning Area indicate a 19.9% increase in population under working age, a 1.7% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 18.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabbin - Highett Planning Area - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0895.51,4096.21,9266.4+837
5 to 91,1225.71,3005.71,8416.1+719
10 to 141,1475.81,3185.81,7965.9+649
15 to 199895.01,2125.41,6405.4+651
20 to 249384.81,1825.21,5575.2+619
25 to 291,1826.01,4986.61,8776.2+695
30 to 341,4087.21,8068.02,2847.6+876
35 to 391,5457.91,9878.82,5928.6+1,047
40 to 441,4517.41,8108.02,5158.3+1,064
45 to 491,4987.61,6267.22,3877.9+889
50 to 541,4007.11,5206.72,1267.0+726
55 to 591,1675.91,3025.81,7385.8+571
60 to 641,0995.61,1014.91,4344.7+335
65 to 699394.81,0184.51,2564.2+317
70 to 748374.38663.81,1013.6+264
75 to 797343.77213.29073.0+173
80 to 845102.65422.46822.3+172
85 and over5873.04001.85401.8-47
Total persons19,642100.022,618100.030,198100.0+10,556
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Moorabbin - Highett Planning Area was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 442 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,987 persons.

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