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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

Moorabbin

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Moorabbin indicate a 36.4% increase in males under working age, a 5.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 37.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabbin - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42508.03458.45128.4+262
5 to 92126.82967.24547.4+242
10 to 141755.62285.63696.0+194
15 to 191484.82215.43375.5+189
20 to 241595.12345.73415.6+182
25 to 291916.12887.03866.3+195
30 to 342136.83488.44637.6+250
35 to 392698.63989.75539.0+284
40 to 442156.93197.84918.0+276
45 to 492498.02666.54537.4+204
50 to 541956.32666.53956.5+200
55 to 591725.52034.93275.3+155
60 to 641595.11644.02534.1+94
65 to 691504.81533.72273.7+77
70 to 74852.71513.71913.1+106
75 to 791264.0922.21732.8+47
80 to 84682.2952.31292.1+61
85 and over772.5451.1661.1-11
Total persons3,113100.04,114100.06,121100.0+3,008
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Moorabbin was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 135 and account for 8.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 398 males.

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