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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

City of Kingston

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Kingston indicate a 6.5% increase in males under working age, a 23.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 8.1% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Kingston - Total males201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,0286.55,2506.15,8026.0+774
5 to 95,0746.55,1986.15,6935.9+619
10 to 144,4495.75,0525.95,4495.6+1,000
15 to 194,3875.65,1616.05,5185.7+1,131
20 to 245,2326.75,4366.36,0446.2+812
25 to 295,2816.85,5786.56,2256.4+944
30 to 345,5227.15,9667.06,5736.8+1,051
35 to 395,6507.36,1087.16,7306.9+1,080
40 to 445,9177.66,0947.16,7146.9+797
45 to 495,6717.35,8646.86,4796.7+808
50 to 545,1046.65,6616.66,1096.3+1,005
55 to 594,6726.05,2026.15,6915.9+1,019
60 to 644,1045.34,6425.45,2525.4+1,148
65 to 693,6424.74,1344.84,8265.0+1,184
70 to 742,8343.63,4564.04,2874.4+1,453
75 to 792,2142.82,8923.43,7293.8+1,515
80 to 841,5562.02,0942.43,0053.1+1,449
85 and over1,5312.02,0002.32,8252.9+1,294
Total persons77,868100.085,788100.096,951100.0+19,083
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), September 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in City of Kingston was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 774 and account for 6.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 6,108 males.

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