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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

City of Kingston

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Kingston indicate a 6.0% increase in population under working age, a 22.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Kingston - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)9,9686.310,2105.811,2815.7+1,313
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)13,3388.414,0678.015,2897.7+1,951
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)10,1166.411,8336.712,6326.4+2,516
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)13,3558.414,3968.215,8868.0+2,531
Young workforce (25 to 34)21,80713.723,36813.325,89913.1+4,092
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)35,27122.236,98221.140,84020.6+5,569
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)20,03612.622,51912.824,46012.3+4,424
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)16,36510.318,46210.521,19910.7+4,834
Seniors (70 to 84)14,5629.218,58810.623,94412.1+9,382
Elderly aged (85 and over)4,1232.65,0352.96,9113.5+2,788
Total persons158,941100.0175,461100.0198,340100.0+39,399
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), September 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Kingston was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 22.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 4,026 and account for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 36,982 persons.

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