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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

Mentone - Moorabbin Airport

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mentone - Moorabbin Airport indicate a 10.3% increase in males under working age, a 3.3% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 5.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mentone - Moorabbin Airport - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43104.93956.04946.1+184
5 to 93705.83695.65006.2+130
10 to 143836.04086.15076.3+124
15 to 193355.33875.84796.0+144
20 to 243235.13655.54525.6+129
25 to 293906.24256.45166.4+126
30 to 344386.94637.05637.0+125
35 to 394667.45007.56077.6+141
40 to 444557.25157.86327.9+177
45 to 494757.54677.06047.5+129
50 to 544757.54647.05597.0+84
55 to 593966.34306.54836.0+87
60 to 643776.03465.23914.9+14
65 to 693145.03335.03524.4+38
70 to 742764.42764.23194.0+43
75 to 792383.82223.32513.1+13
80 to 841552.41612.41882.3+33
85 and over1552.41081.61371.7-18
Total persons6,331100.06,634100.08,032100.0+1,701
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Mentone - Moorabbin Airport was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 85 and account for 6.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 515 males.

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