Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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West Kempsey - Greenhill

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in West Kempsey - Greenhill will increase by an average of 12 dwellings per annum to 2,631 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kempsey Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Glenrock Estate - 36 dwellings (2012-2018)
  • Alison Lane New Residential Area (KUIA 04) - 18 dwellings (2013-2025)
  • Belmore Street New Release Area (KUIA 2) - 50 dwellings (2014-2027)
  • North Street New Release Area (KUIA 1): West Kempsey-Greenhill - 42 dwellings (2019-2036)
  • New Release Area (KUIA4): West Kempsey-Greenhill - 64 dwellings (2023-2036)
  • Low level of Infill development (4 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,631 2035 Total dwellings: 2,618 2034 Total dwellings: 2,605 2033 Total dwellings: 2,592 2032 Total dwellings: 2,579 2031 Total dwellings: 2,567 2030 Total dwellings: 2,555 2029 Total dwellings: 2,544 2028 Total dwellings: 2,533 2027 Total dwellings: 2,522 2026 Total dwellings: 2,510 2025 Total dwellings: 2,497 2024 Total dwellings: 2,483 2023 Total dwellings: 2,469 2022 Total dwellings: 2,455 2021 Total dwellings: 2,443 2020 Total dwellings: 2,430 2019 Total dwellings: 2,418 2018 Total dwellings: 2,406 2017 Total dwellings: 2,396 2036 Total dwellings: 2,631 2035 Total dwellings: 2,618 2034 Total dwellings: 2,605 2033 Total dwellings: 2,592 2032 Total dwellings: 2,579 2031 Total dwellings: 2,567 2030 Total dwellings: 2,555 2029 Total dwellings: 2,544 2028 Total dwellings: 2,533 2027 Total dwellings: 2,522 2026 Total dwellings: 2,510 2025 Total dwellings: 2,497 2024 Total dwellings: 2,483 2023 Total dwellings: 2,469 2022 Total dwellings: 2,455 2021 Total dwellings: 2,443 2020 Total dwellings: 2,430 2019 Total dwellings: 2,418 2018 Total dwellings: 2,406 2017 Total dwellings: 2,396 2036 Forecast development: 13 2035 Forecast development: 13 2034 Forecast development: 13 2033 Forecast development: 13 2032 Forecast development: 12 2031 Forecast development: 12 2030 Forecast development: 11 2029 Forecast development: 11 2028 Forecast development: 11 2027 Forecast development: 12 2026 Forecast development: 13 2025 Forecast development: 14 2024 Forecast development: 14 2023 Forecast development: 14 2022 Forecast development: 12 2021 Forecast development: 13 2020 Forecast development: 12 2019 Forecast development: 12 2018 Forecast development: 10 2017 Forecast development: 12
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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