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Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast

South West Rocks - Jerseyville

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South West Rocks - Jerseyville indicate a 39.8% increase in population under working age, a 12.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South West Rocks - Jerseyville is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
South West Rocks - Jerseyville - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2304.42974.73724.8+142
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3336.44907.76107.8+277
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2855.43926.24956.3+210
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2554.92734.33784.8+123
Young workforce (25 to 34)3657.04346.95286.8+163
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)75214.499815.81,25016.0+498
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)73214.086013.61,07513.8+343
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,06920.41,08317.11,30316.7+234
Seniors (70 to 84)1,00519.21,26820.11,45818.7+453
Elderly aged (85 and over)2094.02253.63424.4+133
Total persons5,235100.06,321100.07,812100.0+2,577
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South West Rocks - Jerseyville was ages Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69), which accounted for 20.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 263 and account for 20.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 1,268 persons.

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