Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

South Kempsey

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Kempsey indicate a 7.6% increase in population under working age, a 30.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kempsey Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Kempsey - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41817.31937.52127.7+32
5 to 92239.02218.62348.5+11
10 to 141897.72248.72398.7+50
15 to 191817.31937.52017.3+19
20 to 241486.01415.51615.9+13
25 to 291385.61325.11435.2+5
30 to 341014.11274.91334.8+32
35 to 391425.81315.11395.1-3
40 to 441546.21355.21545.60
45 to 491415.71616.21676.1+26
50 to 541817.31706.61656.0-17
55 to 591967.91455.61625.9-34
60 to 641445.81465.61435.2-1
65 to 691345.41495.81224.4-12
70 to 74913.71204.71284.6+37
75 to 79592.4993.91164.2+57
80 to 84401.6542.1752.7+34
85 and over291.2371.4542.0+25
Total persons2,473100.02,578100.02,748100.0+276

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 116 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 128 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 146 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 127 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 193 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 224 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 193 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 29 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 40 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 59 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 91 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 134 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 144 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 154 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 138 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 148 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 181
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 12
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Kempsey was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 40 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 224 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0