Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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Smithtown - Gladstone and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Smithtown - Gladstone and District indicate a 6.5% decrease in population under working age, a 8.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kempsey Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Smithtown - Gladstone and District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41416.41095.01105.1-31
5 to 91396.31316.11376.3-3
10 to 141235.61376.31285.9+5
15 to 191305.91044.81074.9-23
20 to 241064.8773.6884.0-18
25 to 29713.2944.4884.1+18
30 to 34793.6994.6974.5+18
35 to 39894.0974.51074.9+18
40 to 441326.01095.11155.3-17
45 to 491436.51235.71295.9-14
50 to 541697.61557.21466.7-23
55 to 591999.01537.11456.7-54
60 to 641436.41738.01677.7+24
65 to 691928.71838.51597.3-33
70 to 741416.41296.01557.1+14
75 to 791396.31436.61456.7+6
80 to 84351.6813.8833.8+49
85 and over421.9602.8673.1+25
Total persons2,214100.02,156100.02,173100.0-41

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 145 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 159 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 145 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 129 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 128 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 110 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 199 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 132 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 89 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 106 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 123 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 139 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 141
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -47 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -29 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -33
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Smithtown - Gladstone and District was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 46 and account for 3.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 183 persons.

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