Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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Frederickton and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Frederickton and District indicate a 14.0% increase in population under working age, a 16.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kempsey Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frederickton and District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41034.51596.41615.9+58
5 to 91416.21777.21886.8+46
10 to 141848.11526.21836.7-2
15 to 191677.31214.91445.3-23
20 to 24853.71124.51053.9+20
25 to 29662.91174.71073.9+41
30 to 341295.61044.21164.3-13
35 to 39893.91214.91445.3+55
40 to 441496.51365.51405.1-9
45 to 491446.31235.01445.30
50 to 541576.91747.11776.5+20
55 to 591617.01827.41826.6+21
60 to 641817.91686.81876.8+6
65 to 691466.41496.01706.2+23
70 to 74934.11506.11515.5+58
75 to 79843.71305.31455.3+61
80 to 84974.2873.51324.8+35
85 and over1124.91064.31615.9+49
Total persons2,290100.02,468100.02,738100.0+448

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 132 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 145 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 151 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 170 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 177 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 116 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 97 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 146 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 161 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 157 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 144 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 149 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 89 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 129 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 184 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 103
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -32 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 56
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Frederickton and District was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 57 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 182 persons.

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