City of KalamundaPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Kalamunda

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Shire of Kalamunda indicate a 12.1% increase in population under working age, a 36.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Shire of Kalamunda is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Kalamunda - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 3,7646.34,1696.24,6386.1+874
5 to 9 4,0346.84,3506.44,6976.2+663
10 to 14 3,8316.54,5206.74,9356.5+1,104
15 to 19 4,0076.84,5416.74,9986.6+991
20 to 24 3,6106.13,8195.74,5145.9+904
25 to 29 3,6996.23,6825.54,2735.6+574
30 to 34 3,9836.73,9435.84,4165.8+433
35 to 39 3,8646.54,4826.64,8936.4+1,029
40 to 44 4,0286.84,6967.05,0756.7+1,047
45 to 49 4,1527.04,4486.65,0226.6+870
50 to 54 3,9776.74,2126.24,8066.3+829
55 to 59 3,6516.24,0456.04,3995.8+748
60 to 64 3,3385.63,8025.64,0875.4+749
65 to 69 3,2645.53,4645.13,8405.0+576
70 to 74 2,3253.93,1394.63,5994.7+1,274
75 to 79 1,7202.92,8164.23,1444.1+1,424
80 to 84 1,1952.01,7692.62,4323.2+1,237
85 and over8981.51,6382.42,4103.2+1,512
Total persons59,340100.067,535100.076,179100.0+16,838

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,410 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,432 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,599 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,840 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,087 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,399 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 4,806 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,022 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 5,075 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 4,893 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 4,416 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,273 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,514 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 4,998 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 4,935 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 4,697 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 4,638 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,638 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,769 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,816 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,139 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,464 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,802 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 4,045 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 4,212 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,448 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 4,696 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,482 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 3,943 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 3,682 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,819 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,541 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,520 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,350 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 4,169 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 898 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,195 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,720 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,325 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,264 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,338 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,651 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,977 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 4,152 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 4,028 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 3,864 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 3,983 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 3,699 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,610 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,007 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,831 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,034 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,764
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 771 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 664 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 376 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 285 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 354 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 575 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 591 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 695 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 457 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 415 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 469 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 740 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 574 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,096 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 814 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 464 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 394 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 668 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 618 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -40 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 534 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 689 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 316 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 405
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Shire of Kalamunda was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,096 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 4,696 persons.

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