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City of JoondalupPopulation forecast

Joondalup City Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Joondalup City Centre indicate a 176.8% increase in population under working age, a 5.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Joondalup is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Joondalup City Centre - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4962.22294.82954.9+199
5 to 9681.62274.82804.6+212
10 to 14731.72004.22303.8+157
15 to 191653.81974.12233.7+58
20 to 2464414.83457.24096.7-235
25 to 2950211.53968.35408.9+38
30 to 343467.93407.14868.0+141
35 to 392816.43206.74537.5+172
40 to 442175.03126.63696.1+152
45 to 492355.42876.03325.5+98
50 to 542004.62485.23115.1+111
55 to 592195.02675.63445.7+125
60 to 642746.32986.23485.8+74
65 to 692996.92976.23125.2+13
70 to 742495.72856.03095.1+60
75 to 791623.72124.42924.8+130
80 to 841413.21683.52504.1+109
85 and over1934.41362.92714.5+78
Total persons4,361100.04,766100.06,054100.0+1,693
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Joondalup City Centre was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 14.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 159 and account for 4.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 396 persons.

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