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Ashfield (South)

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Ashfield (South) is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,269 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Ashfield (South)Forecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,0631,1791,2491,292
Deaths450494507522
Natural increase/decrease613684741770
Net migration1,451699458-201
Change in persons in non-private dwellings205423636

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 84 2035 forecast population change: 118 2034 forecast population change: 112 2033 forecast population change: 130 2032 forecast population change: 161 2031 forecast population change: 252 2030 forecast population change: 194 2029 forecast population change: 238 2028 forecast population change: 272 2027 forecast population change: 279 2026 forecast population change: 250 2025 forecast population change: 190 2024 forecast population change: 228 2023 forecast population change: 525 2022 forecast population change: 233 2021 forecast population change: 565 2020 forecast population change: 423 2019 forecast population change: 97 2018 forecast population change: 38 2017 forecast population change: 1,146
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 154 2035 Natural increase: 154 2034 Natural increase: 154 2033 Natural increase: 155 2032 Natural increase: 154 2031 Natural increase: 152 2030 Natural increase: 151 2029 Natural increase: 149 2028 Natural increase: 146 2027 Natural increase: 144 2026 Natural increase: 141 2025 Natural increase: 140 2024 Natural increase: 139 2023 Natural increase: 133 2022 Natural increase: 131 2021 Natural increase: 125 2020 Natural increase: 124 2019 Natural increase: 124 2018 Natural increase: 125 2017 Natural increase: 114 2036 Total deaths: 105 2035 Total deaths: 105 2034 Total deaths: 104 2033 Total deaths: 104 2032 Total deaths: 103 2031 Total deaths: 103 2030 Total deaths: 102 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 101 2027 Total deaths: 100 2026 Total deaths: 100 2025 Total deaths: 100 2024 Total deaths: 99 2023 Total deaths: 97 2022 Total deaths: 98 2021 Total deaths: 94 2020 Total deaths: 90 2019 Total deaths: 90 2018 Total deaths: 92 2017 Total deaths: 83 2036 Total births: 259 2035 Total births: 259 2034 Total births: 258 2033 Total births: 258 2032 Total births: 257 2031 Total births: 254 2030 Total births: 253 2029 Total births: 250 2028 Total births: 247 2027 Total births: 244 2026 Total births: 242 2025 Total births: 240 2024 Total births: 238 2023 Total births: 230 2022 Total births: 228 2021 Total births: 220 2020 Total births: 214 2019 Total births: 215 2018 Total births: 217 2017 Total births: 198 2036 Natural increase: 154 2035 Natural increase: 154 2034 Natural increase: 154 2033 Natural increase: 155 2032 Natural increase: 154 2031 Natural increase: 152 2030 Natural increase: 151 2029 Natural increase: 149 2028 Natural increase: 146 2027 Natural increase: 144 2026 Natural increase: 141 2025 Natural increase: 140 2024 Natural increase: 139 2023 Natural increase: 133 2022 Natural increase: 131 2021 Natural increase: 125 2020 Natural increase: 124 2019 Natural increase: 124 2018 Natural increase: 125 2017 Natural increase: 114 2036 Total deaths: 105 2035 Total deaths: 105 2034 Total deaths: 104 2033 Total deaths: 104 2032 Total deaths: 103 2031 Total deaths: 103 2030 Total deaths: 102 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 101 2027 Total deaths: 100 2026 Total deaths: 100 2025 Total deaths: 100 2024 Total deaths: 99 2023 Total deaths: 97 2022 Total deaths: 98 2021 Total deaths: 94 2020 Total deaths: 90 2019 Total deaths: 90 2018 Total deaths: 92 2017 Total deaths: 83 2036 Total births: 259 2035 Total births: 259 2034 Total births: 258 2033 Total births: 258 2032 Total births: 257 2031 Total births: 254 2030 Total births: 253 2029 Total births: 250 2028 Total births: 247 2027 Total births: 244 2026 Total births: 242 2025 Total births: 240 2024 Total births: 238 2023 Total births: 230 2022 Total births: 228 2021 Total births: 220 2020 Total births: 214 2019 Total births: 215 2018 Total births: 217 2017 Total births: 198
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -88 2035 Total net migration: -36 2034 Total net migration: -42 2033 Total net migration: -43 2032 Total net migration: 7 2031 Total net migration: 100 2030 Total net migration: 26 2029 Total net migration: 90 2028 Total net migration: 126 2027 Total net migration: 117 2026 Total net migration: 108 2025 Total net migration: 49 2024 Total net migration: 71 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 78 2021 Total net migration: 416 2020 Total net migration: 299 2019 Total net migration: -37 2018 Total net migration: -125 2017 Total net migration: 899 2036 Total out migration: 1,525 2035 Total out migration: 1,517 2034 Total out migration: 1,511 2033 Total out migration: 1,506 2032 Total out migration: 1,496 2031 Total out migration: 1,474 2030 Total out migration: 1,462 2029 Total out migration: 1,441 2028 Total out migration: 1,417 2027 Total out migration: 1,395 2026 Total out migration: 1,375 2025 Total out migration: 1,362 2024 Total out migration: 1,345 2023 Total out migration: 1,293 2022 Total out migration: 1,276 2021 Total out migration: 1,221 2020 Total out migration: 1,179 2019 Total out migration: 1,174 2018 Total out migration: 1,179 2017 Total out migration: 1,062 2036 Total in migration: 1,437 2035 Total in migration: 1,482 2034 Total in migration: 1,469 2033 Total in migration: 1,463 2032 Total in migration: 1,503 2031 Total in migration: 1,575 2030 Total in migration: 1,487 2029 Total in migration: 1,531 2028 Total in migration: 1,543 2027 Total in migration: 1,512 2026 Total in migration: 1,483 2025 Total in migration: 1,411 2024 Total in migration: 1,416 2023 Total in migration: 1,685 2022 Total in migration: 1,354 2021 Total in migration: 1,636 2020 Total in migration: 1,478 2019 Total in migration: 1,137 2018 Total in migration: 1,054 2017 Total in migration: 1,961 2036 Total net migration: -88 2035 Total net migration: -36 2034 Total net migration: -42 2033 Total net migration: -43 2032 Total net migration: 7 2031 Total net migration: 100 2030 Total net migration: 26 2029 Total net migration: 90 2028 Total net migration: 126 2027 Total net migration: 117 2026 Total net migration: 108 2025 Total net migration: 49 2024 Total net migration: 71 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 78 2021 Total net migration: 416 2020 Total net migration: 299 2019 Total net migration: -37 2018 Total net migration: -125 2017 Total net migration: 899 2036 Total out migration: 1,525 2035 Total out migration: 1,517 2034 Total out migration: 1,511 2033 Total out migration: 1,506 2032 Total out migration: 1,496 2031 Total out migration: 1,474 2030 Total out migration: 1,462 2029 Total out migration: 1,441 2028 Total out migration: 1,417 2027 Total out migration: 1,395 2026 Total out migration: 1,375 2025 Total out migration: 1,362 2024 Total out migration: 1,345 2023 Total out migration: 1,293 2022 Total out migration: 1,276 2021 Total out migration: 1,221 2020 Total out migration: 1,179 2019 Total out migration: 1,174 2018 Total out migration: 1,179 2017 Total out migration: 1,062 2036 Total in migration: 1,437 2035 Total in migration: 1,482 2034 Total in migration: 1,469 2033 Total in migration: 1,463 2032 Total in migration: 1,503 2031 Total in migration: 1,575 2030 Total in migration: 1,487 2029 Total in migration: 1,531 2028 Total in migration: 1,543 2027 Total in migration: 1,512 2026 Total in migration: 1,483 2025 Total in migration: 1,411 2024 Total in migration: 1,416 2023 Total in migration: 1,685 2022 Total in migration: 1,354 2021 Total in migration: 1,636 2020 Total in migration: 1,478 2019 Total in migration: 1,137 2018 Total in migration: 1,054 2017 Total in migration: 1,961
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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