Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Greenvale (North)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Greenvale (North) will increase by an average of 131 dwellings per annum to 4,702 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Providence Estate - 81 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • The Pinnacle (Greenvale Lakes) - 21 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • 945-1085 Mickleham Road site - 821 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Aspect Greenvale - 428 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Greenvale North (R1) Structure Plan - Mt Aitken Neighbourhood - 771 dwellings (2018-2028)
  • Greenvale (North) UGA - 293 dwellings (2021-2027)
  • Long-term greenfield (North-East) - 700 dwellings (2022-2041)
  • Greenvale North Future Urban - 140 dwellings (2024-2028)
  • No infill development assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 4,702 2040 Total dwellings: 4,662 2039 Total dwellings: 4,622 2038 Total dwellings: 4,582 2037 Total dwellings: 4,542 2036 Total dwellings: 4,502 2035 Total dwellings: 4,462 2034 Total dwellings: 4,422 2033 Total dwellings: 4,382 2032 Total dwellings: 4,342 2031 Total dwellings: 4,302 2030 Total dwellings: 4,262 2029 Total dwellings: 4,222 2028 Total dwellings: 4,182 2027 Total dwellings: 4,131 2026 Total dwellings: 4,058 2025 Total dwellings: 3,958 2024 Total dwellings: 3,808 2023 Total dwellings: 3,630 2022 Total dwellings: 3,377 2021 Total dwellings: 3,099 2020 Total dwellings: 2,840 2019 Total dwellings: 2,539 2018 Total dwellings: 2,150 2017 Total dwellings: 1,784 2041 Total dwellings: 4,702 2040 Total dwellings: 4,662 2039 Total dwellings: 4,622 2038 Total dwellings: 4,582 2037 Total dwellings: 4,542 2036 Total dwellings: 4,502 2035 Total dwellings: 4,462 2034 Total dwellings: 4,422 2033 Total dwellings: 4,382 2032 Total dwellings: 4,342 2031 Total dwellings: 4,302 2030 Total dwellings: 4,262 2029 Total dwellings: 4,222 2028 Total dwellings: 4,182 2027 Total dwellings: 4,131 2026 Total dwellings: 4,058 2025 Total dwellings: 3,958 2024 Total dwellings: 3,808 2023 Total dwellings: 3,630 2022 Total dwellings: 3,377 2021 Total dwellings: 3,099 2020 Total dwellings: 2,840 2019 Total dwellings: 2,539 2018 Total dwellings: 2,150 2017 Total dwellings: 1,784 2041 Forecast development: 40 2040 Forecast development: 40 2039 Forecast development: 40 2038 Forecast development: 40 2037 Forecast development: 40 2036 Forecast development: 40 2035 Forecast development: 40 2034 Forecast development: 40 2033 Forecast development: 40 2032 Forecast development: 40 2031 Forecast development: 40 2030 Forecast development: 40 2029 Forecast development: 40 2028 Forecast development: 51 2027 Forecast development: 73 2026 Forecast development: 100 2025 Forecast development: 150 2024 Forecast development: 178 2023 Forecast development: 253 2022 Forecast development: 278 2021 Forecast development: 259 2020 Forecast development: 301 2019 Forecast development: 389 2018 Forecast development: 366 2017 Forecast development: 349
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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