Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn (South West - South)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Craigieburn (South West - South) will increase by an average of 110 dwellings per annum to 7,973 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Highlands - Mt Aitken - 804 dwellings (2017-2025)
  • Aston - Craigieburn - 870 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Craigieburn (South West) UGA - 540 dwellings (2022-2031)
  • Craigieburn (South West) Future Residential - 432 dwellings (2030-2039)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (2-6 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 7,973 2040 Total dwellings: 7,967 2039 Total dwellings: 7,961 2038 Total dwellings: 7,945 2037 Total dwellings: 7,917 2036 Total dwellings: 7,886 2035 Total dwellings: 7,840 2034 Total dwellings: 7,784 2033 Total dwellings: 7,718 2032 Total dwellings: 7,632 2031 Total dwellings: 7,546 2030 Total dwellings: 7,485 2029 Total dwellings: 7,451 2028 Total dwellings: 7,417 2027 Total dwellings: 7,364 2026 Total dwellings: 7,301 2025 Total dwellings: 7,208 2024 Total dwellings: 7,106 2023 Total dwellings: 6,988 2022 Total dwellings: 6,836 2021 Total dwellings: 6,689 2020 Total dwellings: 6,487 2019 Total dwellings: 6,210 2018 Total dwellings: 5,858 2017 Total dwellings: 5,503 2041 Total dwellings: 7,973 2040 Total dwellings: 7,967 2039 Total dwellings: 7,961 2038 Total dwellings: 7,945 2037 Total dwellings: 7,917 2036 Total dwellings: 7,886 2035 Total dwellings: 7,840 2034 Total dwellings: 7,784 2033 Total dwellings: 7,718 2032 Total dwellings: 7,632 2031 Total dwellings: 7,546 2030 Total dwellings: 7,485 2029 Total dwellings: 7,451 2028 Total dwellings: 7,417 2027 Total dwellings: 7,364 2026 Total dwellings: 7,301 2025 Total dwellings: 7,208 2024 Total dwellings: 7,106 2023 Total dwellings: 6,988 2022 Total dwellings: 6,836 2021 Total dwellings: 6,689 2020 Total dwellings: 6,487 2019 Total dwellings: 6,210 2018 Total dwellings: 5,858 2017 Total dwellings: 5,503 2041 Forecast development: 6 2040 Forecast development: 6 2039 Forecast development: 16 2038 Forecast development: 28 2037 Forecast development: 31 2036 Forecast development: 46 2035 Forecast development: 56 2034 Forecast development: 66 2033 Forecast development: 86 2032 Forecast development: 86 2031 Forecast development: 61 2030 Forecast development: 34 2029 Forecast development: 34 2028 Forecast development: 53 2027 Forecast development: 63 2026 Forecast development: 93 2025 Forecast development: 102 2024 Forecast development: 118 2023 Forecast development: 152 2022 Forecast development: 147 2021 Forecast development: 202 2020 Forecast development: 277 2019 Forecast development: 352 2018 Forecast development: 355 2017 Forecast development: 287
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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