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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke indicate a 17.2% increase in females under working age, a 77.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 23.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47226.67965.78385.2+116
5 to 97687.09056.59726.0+204
10 to 147897.29696.91,0606.6+271
15 to 197346.79096.51,0236.3+289
20 to 247697.08486.09465.9+177
25 to 298157.48946.49626.0+147
30 to 348788.01,0317.41,0916.8+213
35 to 398607.81,1147.91,1987.4+339
40 to 447176.51,0877.81,2167.5+499
45 to 497266.61,0227.31,2097.5+483
50 to 547807.18996.41,1537.1+373
55 to 597316.78225.91,0356.4+304
60 to 645825.37735.58845.5+302
65 to 694253.96804.97714.8+345
70 to 743483.25423.96904.3+342
75 to 791881.73752.75523.4+364
80 to 84770.72391.73532.2+277
85 and over640.61170.82041.3+140
Total persons10,971100.014,021100.016,157100.0+5,185
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 370 and account for 7.8% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,114 females.

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