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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Craigieburn

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn indicate a 1.7% increase in males under working age, a 54.5% increase in males of retirement age, and a 11.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,0259.13,0398.13,0387.7+13
5 to 93,1819.53,0688.23,0277.7-153
10 to 142,6578.02,9087.82,9287.5+271
15 to 192,1246.42,8507.62,8167.2+692
20 to 242,4627.42,5766.92,7026.9+240
25 to 292,5287.62,4726.62,6666.8+139
30 to 343,0199.02,8787.72,9347.5-85
35 to 393,39610.23,1768.53,1738.1-224
40 to 442,7288.23,0428.22,9857.6+257
45 to 491,9155.72,7567.42,6636.8+748
50 to 541,6474.92,2486.02,4316.2+784
55 to 591,5294.61,7414.72,2225.7+693
60 to 641,1333.41,4133.81,7544.5+621
65 to 698452.51,1593.11,2853.3+440
70 to 745901.88172.29822.5+392
75 to 793301.05471.57361.9+406
80 to 841670.53731.05151.3+348
85 and over1020.32470.73720.9+270
Total persons33,377100.037,310100.039,228100.0+5,851
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Craigieburn was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.2% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 841 and account for 7.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 3,176 males.

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