Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn (South West - South)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn (South West - South) indicate a 38.5% increase in population under working age, a 110.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 27.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn (South West - South) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,5289.02,0538.91,9218.0+393
5 to 91,3748.11,9038.31,7827.4+407
10 to 141,1416.71,6427.11,6296.8+488
15 to 191,2857.51,5206.61,5706.6+285
20 to 241,3968.21,5206.61,5846.6+188
25 to 291,5299.01,8268.01,7137.2+184
30 to 341,6559.72,0859.11,8817.9+226
35 to 391,3738.11,9698.61,8127.6+440
40 to 441,0726.31,6937.41,6156.7+542
45 to 491,1586.81,4696.41,5506.5+392
50 to 541,0996.51,1955.21,4316.0+332
55 to 598334.91,1425.01,3125.5+479
60 to 646693.91,0184.41,1304.7+460
65 to 694252.57613.39173.8+492
70 to 742061.25752.58073.4+601
75 to 791450.93551.56682.8+523
80 to 84880.51600.74021.7+314
85 and over510.3770.31960.8+145
Total persons17,027100.022,965100.023,920100.0+6,893

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 196 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 402 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 668 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 807 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 917 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,130 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,431 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,550 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,615 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,812 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,881 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,713 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,584 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,570 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,629 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,782 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,921 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 355 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 575 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 761 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,018 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,142 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,195 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,469 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,693 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,969 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,085 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,826 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,520 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,520 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,642 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,903 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,053 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 425 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 669 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 833 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,099 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,158 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,373 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,655 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,529 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,396 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,285 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,374 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,528
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 242 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 314 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 232 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 155 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 112 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 169 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 235 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 80 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -78 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -157 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -204 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -113 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 65 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -122 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -131 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 210 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 369 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 337 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 310 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 312 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 621 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 596 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 431 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 298 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 500 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 529 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 524
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn (South West - South) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 621 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,085 persons.

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