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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Craigieburn Development area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn Development area indicate a 9.1% increase in population under working age, a 59.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn Development area - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46,2999.16,7238.37,6168.2+1,317
5 to 96,4839.46,6968.27,5288.1+1,045
10 to 145,2937.76,2987.87,0787.6+1,785
15 to 194,2756.25,9487.36,4977.0+2,222
20 to 244,7606.95,2566.55,9766.4+1,216
25 to 295,3337.75,5456.86,4486.9+1,115
30 to 346,7579.86,6928.27,5868.1+829
35 to 397,17310.47,1558.88,0078.6+833
40 to 445,4457.96,7308.37,2467.8+1,801
45 to 493,8995.75,9447.36,2896.7+2,389
50 to 543,4795.04,6185.75,5265.9+2,047
55 to 593,0834.53,5484.44,7795.1+1,697
60 to 642,3273.43,0383.73,7554.0+1,428
65 to 691,7812.62,4883.12,8423.0+1,061
70 to 741,2161.81,7982.22,2892.5+1,073
75 to 797061.01,2681.61,7521.9+1,047
80 to 843940.68111.01,1951.3+801
85 and over3090.46420.81,0041.1+695
Total persons69,012100.081,199100.093,412100.0+24,400
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn Development area was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 2,044 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 7,155 persons.

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