Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Roxburgh Park

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Roxburgh Park is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Hume City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively consistent profile across the 2016-2026 period, with net migration declining over time as significant development opportunities are exhausted
  • In the short term, gain of families seeking home owing opportunities
  • In the medium term, significant loss of young adults as the suburb matures and they leave the family home
  • Loss of older adults and retirees (45-64 years)
  • Minimal population change through migration at age 70 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -54 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -169 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -170 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -157 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -294 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -223 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -23 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -7 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -108 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -154 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 92 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -98 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 75 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 113 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 203 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -54 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -169 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -170 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -157 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -294 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -223 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -23 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -7 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -108 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -154 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 92 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -98 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 75 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 113 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 203
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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