Craigieburn Development area
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Craigieburn Development area is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 11,126 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craigieburn Development area | Forecast period | ||||
| Component | 2017 to 2021 | 2022 to 2026 | 2027 to 2031 | 2032 to 2036 | 2037 to 2041 |
| Births | 5,450 | 5,909 | 6,142 | 6,347 | 6,629 |
| Deaths | 827 | 993 | 1,174 | 1,362 | 1,543 |
| Natural increase/decrease | 4,623 | 4,916 | 4,968 | 4,985 | 5,086 |
| Net migration | 6,504 | 2,142 | -889 | -1,056 | -1,742 |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | 0 | 130 | 0 | 130 | 0 |
| Total population change | 11,126 | 7,187 | 4,079 | 4,059 | 3,343 |
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, November 2017.
