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Craigieburn Development area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Craigieburn Development area is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 11,126 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Craigieburn Development areaForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births5,4505,9096,1426,3476,629
Deaths8279931,1741,3621,543
Natural increase/decrease4,6234,9164,9684,9855,086
Net migration6,5042,142-889-1,056-1,742
Change in persons in non-private dwellings013001300

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 647 2040 forecast population change: 643 2039 forecast population change: 663 2038 forecast population change: 682 2037 forecast population change: 709 2036 forecast population change: 735 2035 forecast population change: 758 2034 forecast population change: 789 2033 forecast population change: 842 2032 forecast population change: 935 2031 forecast population change: 680 2030 forecast population change: 692 2029 forecast population change: 739 2028 forecast population change: 924 2027 forecast population change: 1,043 2026 forecast population change: 1,167 2025 forecast population change: 1,225 2024 forecast population change: 1,423 2023 forecast population change: 1,542 2022 forecast population change: 1,831 2021 forecast population change: 1,779 2020 forecast population change: 2,163 2019 forecast population change: 2,403 2018 forecast population change: 2,264 2017 forecast population change: 2,517
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 1,024 2040 Natural increase: 1,021 2039 Natural increase: 1,017 2038 Natural increase: 1,014 2037 Natural increase: 1,010 2036 Natural increase: 1,005 2035 Natural increase: 1,001 2034 Natural increase: 997 2033 Natural increase: 993 2032 Natural increase: 989 2031 Natural increase: 990 2030 Natural increase: 992 2029 Natural increase: 995 2028 Natural increase: 996 2027 Natural increase: 994 2026 Natural increase: 991 2025 Natural increase: 989 2024 Natural increase: 985 2023 Natural increase: 979 2022 Natural increase: 972 2021 Natural increase: 965 2020 Natural increase: 949 2019 Natural increase: 926 2018 Natural increase: 905 2017 Natural increase: 878 2041 Total deaths: 322 2040 Total deaths: 316 2039 Total deaths: 309 2038 Total deaths: 302 2037 Total deaths: 295 2036 Total deaths: 287 2035 Total deaths: 280 2034 Total deaths: 273 2033 Total deaths: 265 2032 Total deaths: 257 2031 Total deaths: 249 2030 Total deaths: 242 2029 Total deaths: 235 2028 Total deaths: 227 2027 Total deaths: 220 2026 Total deaths: 213 2025 Total deaths: 206 2024 Total deaths: 199 2023 Total deaths: 191 2022 Total deaths: 184 2021 Total deaths: 178 2020 Total deaths: 172 2019 Total deaths: 165 2018 Total deaths: 159 2017 Total deaths: 153 2041 Total births: 1,346 2040 Total births: 1,336 2039 Total births: 1,326 2038 Total births: 1,316 2037 Total births: 1,304 2036 Total births: 1,293 2035 Total births: 1,281 2034 Total births: 1,270 2033 Total births: 1,258 2032 Total births: 1,246 2031 Total births: 1,240 2030 Total births: 1,235 2029 Total births: 1,230 2028 Total births: 1,223 2027 Total births: 1,214 2026 Total births: 1,204 2025 Total births: 1,195 2024 Total births: 1,183 2023 Total births: 1,171 2022 Total births: 1,156 2021 Total births: 1,143 2020 Total births: 1,120 2019 Total births: 1,091 2018 Total births: 1,064 2017 Total births: 1,032 2041 Natural increase: 1,024 2040 Natural increase: 1,021 2039 Natural increase: 1,017 2038 Natural increase: 1,014 2037 Natural increase: 1,010 2036 Natural increase: 1,005 2035 Natural increase: 1,001 2034 Natural increase: 997 2033 Natural increase: 993 2032 Natural increase: 989 2031 Natural increase: 990 2030 Natural increase: 992 2029 Natural increase: 995 2028 Natural increase: 996 2027 Natural increase: 994 2026 Natural increase: 991 2025 Natural increase: 989 2024 Natural increase: 985 2023 Natural increase: 979 2022 Natural increase: 972 2021 Natural increase: 965 2020 Natural increase: 949 2019 Natural increase: 926 2018 Natural increase: 905 2017 Natural increase: 878 2041 Total deaths: 322 2040 Total deaths: 316 2039 Total deaths: 309 2038 Total deaths: 302 2037 Total deaths: 295 2036 Total deaths: 287 2035 Total deaths: 280 2034 Total deaths: 273 2033 Total deaths: 265 2032 Total deaths: 257 2031 Total deaths: 249 2030 Total deaths: 242 2029 Total deaths: 235 2028 Total deaths: 227 2027 Total deaths: 220 2026 Total deaths: 213 2025 Total deaths: 206 2024 Total deaths: 199 2023 Total deaths: 191 2022 Total deaths: 184 2021 Total deaths: 178 2020 Total deaths: 172 2019 Total deaths: 165 2018 Total deaths: 159 2017 Total deaths: 153 2041 Total births: 1,346 2040 Total births: 1,336 2039 Total births: 1,326 2038 Total births: 1,316 2037 Total births: 1,304 2036 Total births: 1,293 2035 Total births: 1,281 2034 Total births: 1,270 2033 Total births: 1,258 2032 Total births: 1,246 2031 Total births: 1,240 2030 Total births: 1,235 2029 Total births: 1,230 2028 Total births: 1,223 2027 Total births: 1,214 2026 Total births: 1,204 2025 Total births: 1,195 2024 Total births: 1,183 2023 Total births: 1,171 2022 Total births: 1,156 2021 Total births: 1,143 2020 Total births: 1,120 2019 Total births: 1,091 2018 Total births: 1,064 2017 Total births: 1,032
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -378 2040 Total net migration: -378 2039 Total net migration: -355 2038 Total net migration: -332 2037 Total net migration: -300 2036 Total net migration: -270 2035 Total net migration: -243 2034 Total net migration: -212 2033 Total net migration: -167 2032 Total net migration: -163 2031 Total net migration: -311 2030 Total net migration: -300 2029 Total net migration: -256 2028 Total net migration: -72 2027 Total net migration: 49 2026 Total net migration: 176 2025 Total net migration: 236 2024 Total net migration: 434 2023 Total net migration: 545 2022 Total net migration: 751 2021 Total net migration: 814 2020 Total net migration: 1,214 2019 Total net migration: 1,477 2018 Total net migration: 1,358 2017 Total net migration: 1,639 2041 Total out migration: 7,494 2040 Total out migration: 7,448 2039 Total out migration: 7,400 2038 Total out migration: 7,352 2037 Total out migration: 7,301 2036 Total out migration: 7,248 2035 Total out migration: 7,194 2034 Total out migration: 7,138 2033 Total out migration: 7,079 2032 Total out migration: 7,023 2031 Total out migration: 6,984 2030 Total out migration: 6,946 2029 Total out migration: 6,908 2028 Total out migration: 6,851 2027 Total out migration: 6,781 2026 Total out migration: 6,705 2025 Total out migration: 6,624 2024 Total out migration: 6,525 2023 Total out migration: 6,416 2022 Total out migration: 6,251 2021 Total out migration: 6,118 2020 Total out migration: 5,940 2019 Total out migration: 5,731 2018 Total out migration: 5,538 2017 Total out migration: 5,319 2041 Total in migration: 7,116 2040 Total in migration: 7,070 2039 Total in migration: 7,045 2038 Total in migration: 7,020 2037 Total in migration: 7,001 2036 Total in migration: 6,978 2035 Total in migration: 6,951 2034 Total in migration: 6,926 2033 Total in migration: 6,912 2032 Total in migration: 6,860 2031 Total in migration: 6,674 2030 Total in migration: 6,646 2029 Total in migration: 6,651 2028 Total in migration: 6,780 2027 Total in migration: 6,831 2026 Total in migration: 6,880 2025 Total in migration: 6,860 2024 Total in migration: 6,960 2023 Total in migration: 6,961 2022 Total in migration: 7,001 2021 Total in migration: 6,932 2020 Total in migration: 7,155 2019 Total in migration: 7,208 2018 Total in migration: 6,896 2017 Total in migration: 6,958 2041 Total net migration: -378 2040 Total net migration: -378 2039 Total net migration: -355 2038 Total net migration: -332 2037 Total net migration: -300 2036 Total net migration: -270 2035 Total net migration: -243 2034 Total net migration: -212 2033 Total net migration: -167 2032 Total net migration: -163 2031 Total net migration: -311 2030 Total net migration: -300 2029 Total net migration: -256 2028 Total net migration: -72 2027 Total net migration: 49 2026 Total net migration: 176 2025 Total net migration: 236 2024 Total net migration: 434 2023 Total net migration: 545 2022 Total net migration: 751 2021 Total net migration: 814 2020 Total net migration: 1,214 2019 Total net migration: 1,477 2018 Total net migration: 1,358 2017 Total net migration: 1,639 2041 Total out migration: 7,494 2040 Total out migration: 7,448 2039 Total out migration: 7,400 2038 Total out migration: 7,352 2037 Total out migration: 7,301 2036 Total out migration: 7,248 2035 Total out migration: 7,194 2034 Total out migration: 7,138 2033 Total out migration: 7,079 2032 Total out migration: 7,023 2031 Total out migration: 6,984 2030 Total out migration: 6,946 2029 Total out migration: 6,908 2028 Total out migration: 6,851 2027 Total out migration: 6,781 2026 Total out migration: 6,705 2025 Total out migration: 6,624 2024 Total out migration: 6,525 2023 Total out migration: 6,416 2022 Total out migration: 6,251 2021 Total out migration: 6,118 2020 Total out migration: 5,940 2019 Total out migration: 5,731 2018 Total out migration: 5,538 2017 Total out migration: 5,319 2041 Total in migration: 7,116 2040 Total in migration: 7,070 2039 Total in migration: 7,045 2038 Total in migration: 7,020 2037 Total in migration: 7,001 2036 Total in migration: 6,978 2035 Total in migration: 6,951 2034 Total in migration: 6,926 2033 Total in migration: 6,912 2032 Total in migration: 6,860 2031 Total in migration: 6,674 2030 Total in migration: 6,646 2029 Total in migration: 6,651 2028 Total in migration: 6,780 2027 Total in migration: 6,831 2026 Total in migration: 6,880 2025 Total in migration: 6,860 2024 Total in migration: 6,960 2023 Total in migration: 6,961 2022 Total in migration: 7,001 2021 Total in migration: 6,932 2020 Total in migration: 7,155 2019 Total in migration: 7,208 2018 Total in migration: 6,896 2017 Total in migration: 6,958
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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