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Craigieburn (South West - South)

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Craigieburn (South West - South) is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,414 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Craigieburn (South West - South)Forecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,8121,9991,9201,8931,902
Deaths--269327378435492
Natural increase/decrease--1,5421,6731,5421,4581,410
Net migration--2,873-150-1,296-679-1,479
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: -47 2040 forecast population change: -52 2039 forecast population change: -23 2038 forecast population change: 8 2037 forecast population change: 44 2036 forecast population change: 86 2035 forecast population change: 120 2034 forecast population change: 151 2033 forecast population change: 215 2032 forecast population change: 206 2031 forecast population change: 94 2030 forecast population change: 5 2029 forecast population change: 0 2028 forecast population change: 55 2027 forecast population change: 92 2026 forecast population change: 198 2025 forecast population change: 236 2024 forecast population change: 292 2023 forecast population change: 398 2022 forecast population change: 400 2021 forecast population change: 550 2020 forecast population change: 810 2019 forecast population change: 1,096 2018 forecast population change: 1,110 2017 forecast population change: 849
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 274 2040 Natural increase: 278 2039 Natural increase: 282 2038 Natural increase: 286 2037 Natural increase: 289 2036 Natural increase: 291 2035 Natural increase: 292 2034 Natural increase: 292 2033 Natural increase: 292 2032 Natural increase: 291 2031 Natural increase: 294 2030 Natural increase: 301 2029 Natural increase: 308 2028 Natural increase: 316 2027 Natural increase: 323 2026 Natural increase: 328 2025 Natural increase: 332 2024 Natural increase: 336 2023 Natural increase: 338 2022 Natural increase: 339 2021 Natural increase: 338 2020 Natural increase: 328 2019 Natural increase: 310 2018 Natural increase: 290 2017 Natural increase: 276 2041 Total deaths: 103 2040 Total deaths: 101 2039 Total deaths: 99 2038 Total deaths: 96 2037 Total deaths: 94 2036 Total deaths: 92 2035 Total deaths: 89 2034 Total deaths: 87 2033 Total deaths: 85 2032 Total deaths: 82 2031 Total deaths: 80 2030 Total deaths: 78 2029 Total deaths: 76 2028 Total deaths: 74 2027 Total deaths: 72 2026 Total deaths: 70 2025 Total deaths: 68 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 63 2022 Total deaths: 61 2021 Total deaths: 59 2020 Total deaths: 57 2019 Total deaths: 54 2018 Total deaths: 51 2017 Total deaths: 49 2041 Total births: 377 2040 Total births: 379 2039 Total births: 381 2038 Total births: 382 2037 Total births: 383 2036 Total births: 382 2035 Total births: 381 2034 Total births: 380 2033 Total births: 376 2032 Total births: 373 2031 Total births: 374 2030 Total births: 379 2029 Total births: 384 2028 Total births: 389 2027 Total births: 394 2026 Total births: 397 2025 Total births: 400 2024 Total births: 402 2023 Total births: 401 2022 Total births: 400 2021 Total births: 396 2020 Total births: 385 2019 Total births: 364 2018 Total births: 341 2017 Total births: 325 2041 Natural increase: 274 2040 Natural increase: 278 2039 Natural increase: 282 2038 Natural increase: 286 2037 Natural increase: 289 2036 Natural increase: 291 2035 Natural increase: 292 2034 Natural increase: 292 2033 Natural increase: 292 2032 Natural increase: 291 2031 Natural increase: 294 2030 Natural increase: 301 2029 Natural increase: 308 2028 Natural increase: 316 2027 Natural increase: 323 2026 Natural increase: 328 2025 Natural increase: 332 2024 Natural increase: 336 2023 Natural increase: 338 2022 Natural increase: 339 2021 Natural increase: 338 2020 Natural increase: 328 2019 Natural increase: 310 2018 Natural increase: 290 2017 Natural increase: 276 2041 Total deaths: 103 2040 Total deaths: 101 2039 Total deaths: 99 2038 Total deaths: 96 2037 Total deaths: 94 2036 Total deaths: 92 2035 Total deaths: 89 2034 Total deaths: 87 2033 Total deaths: 85 2032 Total deaths: 82 2031 Total deaths: 80 2030 Total deaths: 78 2029 Total deaths: 76 2028 Total deaths: 74 2027 Total deaths: 72 2026 Total deaths: 70 2025 Total deaths: 68 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 63 2022 Total deaths: 61 2021 Total deaths: 59 2020 Total deaths: 57 2019 Total deaths: 54 2018 Total deaths: 51 2017 Total deaths: 49 2041 Total births: 377 2040 Total births: 379 2039 Total births: 381 2038 Total births: 382 2037 Total births: 383 2036 Total births: 382 2035 Total births: 381 2034 Total births: 380 2033 Total births: 376 2032 Total births: 373 2031 Total births: 374 2030 Total births: 379 2029 Total births: 384 2028 Total births: 389 2027 Total births: 394 2026 Total births: 397 2025 Total births: 400 2024 Total births: 402 2023 Total births: 401 2022 Total births: 400 2021 Total births: 396 2020 Total births: 385 2019 Total births: 364 2018 Total births: 341 2017 Total births: 325
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -321 2040 Total net migration: -331 2039 Total net migration: -306 2038 Total net migration: -278 2037 Total net migration: -244 2036 Total net migration: -204 2035 Total net migration: -172 2034 Total net migration: -141 2033 Total net migration: -77 2032 Total net migration: -85 2031 Total net migration: -200 2030 Total net migration: -296 2029 Total net migration: -309 2028 Total net migration: -261 2027 Total net migration: -230 2026 Total net migration: -130 2025 Total net migration: -96 2024 Total net migration: -44 2023 Total net migration: 61 2022 Total net migration: 60 2021 Total net migration: 212 2020 Total net migration: 482 2019 Total net migration: 786 2018 Total net migration: 820 2017 Total net migration: 573 2041 Total out migration: 2,117 2040 Total out migration: 2,127 2039 Total out migration: 2,133 2038 Total out migration: 2,137 2037 Total out migration: 2,138 2036 Total out migration: 2,135 2035 Total out migration: 2,129 2034 Total out migration: 2,119 2033 Total out migration: 2,103 2032 Total out migration: 2,089 2031 Total out migration: 2,088 2030 Total out migration: 2,098 2029 Total out migration: 2,110 2028 Total out migration: 2,117 2027 Total out migration: 2,121 2026 Total out migration: 2,115 2025 Total out migration: 2,107 2024 Total out migration: 2,093 2023 Total out migration: 2,068 2022 Total out migration: 2,036 2021 Total out migration: 1,994 2020 Total out migration: 1,921 2019 Total out migration: 1,816 2018 Total out migration: 1,705 2017 Total out migration: 1,619 2041 Total in migration: 1,797 2040 Total in migration: 1,796 2039 Total in migration: 1,828 2038 Total in migration: 1,860 2037 Total in migration: 1,894 2036 Total in migration: 1,931 2035 Total in migration: 1,957 2034 Total in migration: 1,978 2033 Total in migration: 2,026 2032 Total in migration: 2,004 2031 Total in migration: 1,887 2030 Total in migration: 1,802 2029 Total in migration: 1,801 2028 Total in migration: 1,856 2027 Total in migration: 1,891 2026 Total in migration: 1,985 2025 Total in migration: 2,011 2024 Total in migration: 2,049 2023 Total in migration: 2,129 2022 Total in migration: 2,096 2021 Total in migration: 2,206 2020 Total in migration: 2,403 2019 Total in migration: 2,601 2018 Total in migration: 2,524 2017 Total in migration: 2,192 2041 Total net migration: -321 2040 Total net migration: -331 2039 Total net migration: -306 2038 Total net migration: -278 2037 Total net migration: -244 2036 Total net migration: -204 2035 Total net migration: -172 2034 Total net migration: -141 2033 Total net migration: -77 2032 Total net migration: -85 2031 Total net migration: -200 2030 Total net migration: -296 2029 Total net migration: -309 2028 Total net migration: -261 2027 Total net migration: -230 2026 Total net migration: -130 2025 Total net migration: -96 2024 Total net migration: -44 2023 Total net migration: 61 2022 Total net migration: 60 2021 Total net migration: 212 2020 Total net migration: 482 2019 Total net migration: 786 2018 Total net migration: 820 2017 Total net migration: 573 2041 Total out migration: 2,117 2040 Total out migration: 2,127 2039 Total out migration: 2,133 2038 Total out migration: 2,137 2037 Total out migration: 2,138 2036 Total out migration: 2,135 2035 Total out migration: 2,129 2034 Total out migration: 2,119 2033 Total out migration: 2,103 2032 Total out migration: 2,089 2031 Total out migration: 2,088 2030 Total out migration: 2,098 2029 Total out migration: 2,110 2028 Total out migration: 2,117 2027 Total out migration: 2,121 2026 Total out migration: 2,115 2025 Total out migration: 2,107 2024 Total out migration: 2,093 2023 Total out migration: 2,068 2022 Total out migration: 2,036 2021 Total out migration: 1,994 2020 Total out migration: 1,921 2019 Total out migration: 1,816 2018 Total out migration: 1,705 2017 Total out migration: 1,619 2041 Total in migration: 1,797 2040 Total in migration: 1,796 2039 Total in migration: 1,828 2038 Total in migration: 1,860 2037 Total in migration: 1,894 2036 Total in migration: 1,931 2035 Total in migration: 1,957 2034 Total in migration: 1,978 2033 Total in migration: 2,026 2032 Total in migration: 2,004 2031 Total in migration: 1,887 2030 Total in migration: 1,802 2029 Total in migration: 1,801 2028 Total in migration: 1,856 2027 Total in migration: 1,891 2026 Total in migration: 1,985 2025 Total in migration: 2,011 2024 Total in migration: 2,049 2023 Total in migration: 2,129 2022 Total in migration: 2,096 2021 Total in migration: 2,206 2020 Total in migration: 2,403 2019 Total in migration: 2,601 2018 Total in migration: 2,524 2017 Total in migration: 2,192
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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