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Hilltops Council areaPopulation forecast

Rural Harden District

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Rural Harden District is forecast to grow from 684 in 2016 to 707 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.40 to 2.21 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Rural Harden District. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Rural Harden DistrictForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population1,3861,3651,3171,3011,285
Change in population (5yrs)---20-48-17-15
Average annual change---0.30%-0.71%-0.25%-0.24%
Households576577577579580
Average household size2.402.362.282.242.21
Population in non private dwellings44444
Dwellings684691696702707
Dwelling occupancy rate84.2183.5082.9082.4882.04
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Rural Harden District was estimated to be 1,386 people. It is expected to decrease by over 85 people to 1,301 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of -0.63%. This is based on an increase of over 3 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.40 to 2.24 by 2026.

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