Shire of HarveyPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Harvey

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Shire of Harvey indicate a 18.8% increase in population under working age, a 46.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Shire of Harvey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Harvey - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,9137.12,3647.32,6676.9+754
5 to 9 2,1137.82,4877.72,8037.2+690
10 to 14 2,0547.62,3727.32,7887.2+734
15 to 19 1,8937.02,0206.22,3846.2+491
20 to 24 1,3034.81,5344.71,8024.7+499
25 to 29 1,5485.71,7465.41,9064.9+358
30 to 34 1,8156.72,0426.32,2775.9+462
35 to 39 1,7546.52,2917.12,5506.6+796
40 to 44 1,8656.92,2777.02,5816.7+716
45 to 49 1,9287.12,0996.52,5776.7+649
50 to 54 1,8426.82,0026.22,4756.4+633
55 to 59 1,7636.51,9476.02,3396.0+576
60 to 64 1,5265.61,8145.62,1085.4+582
65 to 69 1,4145.21,6785.21,9255.0+511
70 to 74 9423.51,3774.21,7814.6+839
75 to 79 6872.51,1523.61,5464.0+859
80 to 84 3871.46732.11,1573.0+770
85 and over2821.05491.71,0342.7+752
Total persons27,029100.032,421100.038,699100.0+11,670

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 1,034 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,157 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,546 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,781 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,925 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 2,108 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 2,339 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 2,475 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 2,577 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 2,581 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,550 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,277 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,906 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,802 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,384 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 2,788 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 2,803 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,667 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 549 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 673 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,152 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,377 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,678 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,814 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,947 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,002 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,099 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,277 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,042 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,534 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,020 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,372 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,487 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,364 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 282 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 387 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 687 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 942 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,414 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,526 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,763 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,842 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,865 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,754 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,815 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,548 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,303 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,893 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,054 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,113 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,913
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 485 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 484 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 394 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 405 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 294 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 392 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 474 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 478 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 259 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 235 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 161 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 268 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 364 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 416 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 316 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 303 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 465 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 435 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 412 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 537 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 127 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 318 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 374 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 451
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Shire of Harvey was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 537 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,487 persons.

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