Shire of HarveyPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Shire of Harvey

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Shire of Harvey is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,758 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shire of HarveyForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--2,0122,1642,3082,4282,514
Deaths--7328621,0241,1801,315
Natural increase/decrease--1,2801,3011,2851,2481,199
Net migration--1,3341,4071,311628508
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--205050500

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 342 2040 forecast population change: 349 2039 forecast population change: 346 2038 forecast population change: 347 2037 forecast population change: 323 2036 forecast population change: 346 2035 forecast population change: 341 2034 forecast population change: 426 2033 forecast population change: 401 2032 forecast population change: 413 2031 forecast population change: 495 2030 forecast population change: 513 2029 forecast population change: 517 2028 forecast population change: 539 2027 forecast population change: 582 2026 forecast population change: 550 2025 forecast population change: 551 2024 forecast population change: 598 2023 forecast population change: 558 2022 forecast population change: 501 2021 forecast population change: 540 2020 forecast population change: 527 2019 forecast population change: 513 2018 forecast population change: 595 2017 forecast population change: 458
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 239 2040 Natural increase: 239 2039 Natural increase: 239 2038 Natural increase: 240 2037 Natural increase: 241 2036 Natural increase: 244 2035 Natural increase: 247 2034 Natural increase: 250 2033 Natural increase: 253 2032 Natural increase: 255 2031 Natural increase: 256 2030 Natural increase: 256 2029 Natural increase: 257 2028 Natural increase: 258 2027 Natural increase: 258 2026 Natural increase: 259 2025 Natural increase: 260 2024 Natural increase: 260 2023 Natural increase: 261 2022 Natural increase: 262 2021 Natural increase: 261 2020 Natural increase: 259 2019 Natural increase: 257 2018 Natural increase: 254 2017 Natural increase: 249 2041 Total deaths: 272 2040 Total deaths: 267 2039 Total deaths: 263 2038 Total deaths: 258 2037 Total deaths: 254 2036 Total deaths: 248 2035 Total deaths: 242 2034 Total deaths: 236 2033 Total deaths: 230 2032 Total deaths: 224 2031 Total deaths: 218 2030 Total deaths: 211 2029 Total deaths: 205 2028 Total deaths: 198 2027 Total deaths: 192 2026 Total deaths: 186 2025 Total deaths: 179 2024 Total deaths: 172 2023 Total deaths: 166 2022 Total deaths: 160 2021 Total deaths: 154 2020 Total deaths: 150 2019 Total deaths: 146 2018 Total deaths: 141 2017 Total deaths: 141 2041 Total births: 511 2040 Total births: 507 2039 Total births: 502 2038 Total births: 498 2037 Total births: 495 2036 Total births: 492 2035 Total births: 489 2034 Total births: 486 2033 Total births: 482 2032 Total births: 479 2031 Total births: 473 2030 Total births: 467 2029 Total births: 462 2028 Total births: 456 2027 Total births: 450 2026 Total births: 444 2025 Total births: 438 2024 Total births: 433 2023 Total births: 427 2022 Total births: 422 2021 Total births: 415 2020 Total births: 409 2019 Total births: 402 2018 Total births: 395 2017 Total births: 390 2041 Natural increase: 239 2040 Natural increase: 239 2039 Natural increase: 239 2038 Natural increase: 240 2037 Natural increase: 241 2036 Natural increase: 244 2035 Natural increase: 247 2034 Natural increase: 250 2033 Natural increase: 253 2032 Natural increase: 255 2031 Natural increase: 256 2030 Natural increase: 256 2029 Natural increase: 257 2028 Natural increase: 258 2027 Natural increase: 258 2026 Natural increase: 259 2025 Natural increase: 260 2024 Natural increase: 260 2023 Natural increase: 261 2022 Natural increase: 262 2021 Natural increase: 261 2020 Natural increase: 259 2019 Natural increase: 257 2018 Natural increase: 254 2017 Natural increase: 249 2041 Total deaths: 272 2040 Total deaths: 267 2039 Total deaths: 263 2038 Total deaths: 258 2037 Total deaths: 254 2036 Total deaths: 248 2035 Total deaths: 242 2034 Total deaths: 236 2033 Total deaths: 230 2032 Total deaths: 224 2031 Total deaths: 218 2030 Total deaths: 211 2029 Total deaths: 205 2028 Total deaths: 198 2027 Total deaths: 192 2026 Total deaths: 186 2025 Total deaths: 179 2024 Total deaths: 172 2023 Total deaths: 166 2022 Total deaths: 160 2021 Total deaths: 154 2020 Total deaths: 150 2019 Total deaths: 146 2018 Total deaths: 141 2017 Total deaths: 141 2041 Total births: 511 2040 Total births: 507 2039 Total births: 502 2038 Total births: 498 2037 Total births: 495 2036 Total births: 492 2035 Total births: 489 2034 Total births: 486 2033 Total births: 482 2032 Total births: 479 2031 Total births: 473 2030 Total births: 467 2029 Total births: 462 2028 Total births: 456 2027 Total births: 450 2026 Total births: 444 2025 Total births: 438 2024 Total births: 433 2023 Total births: 427 2022 Total births: 422 2021 Total births: 415 2020 Total births: 409 2019 Total births: 402 2018 Total births: 395 2017 Total births: 390
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 103 2040 Total net migration: 109 2039 Total net migration: 107 2038 Total net migration: 107 2037 Total net migration: 82 2036 Total net migration: 102 2035 Total net migration: 94 2034 Total net migration: 126 2033 Total net migration: 148 2032 Total net migration: 158 2031 Total net migration: 239 2030 Total net migration: 257 2029 Total net migration: 260 2028 Total net migration: 281 2027 Total net migration: 273 2026 Total net migration: 291 2025 Total net migration: 292 2024 Total net migration: 288 2023 Total net migration: 297 2022 Total net migration: 240 2021 Total net migration: 279 2020 Total net migration: 268 2019 Total net migration: 256 2018 Total net migration: 322 2017 Total net migration: 209 2041 Total out migration: 3,160 2040 Total out migration: 3,134 2039 Total out migration: 3,109 2038 Total out migration: 3,084 2037 Total out migration: 3,059 2036 Total out migration: 3,036 2035 Total out migration: 3,011 2034 Total out migration: 2,985 2033 Total out migration: 2,957 2032 Total out migration: 2,927 2031 Total out migration: 2,890 2030 Total out migration: 2,850 2029 Total out migration: 2,809 2028 Total out migration: 2,764 2027 Total out migration: 2,723 2026 Total out migration: 2,680 2025 Total out migration: 2,640 2024 Total out migration: 2,599 2023 Total out migration: 2,555 2022 Total out migration: 2,516 2021 Total out migration: 2,469 2020 Total out migration: 2,425 2019 Total out migration: 2,385 2018 Total out migration: 2,340 2017 Total out migration: 2,306 2041 Total in migration: 3,264 2040 Total in migration: 3,244 2039 Total in migration: 3,217 2038 Total in migration: 3,190 2037 Total in migration: 3,140 2036 Total in migration: 3,138 2035 Total in migration: 3,105 2034 Total in migration: 3,110 2033 Total in migration: 3,105 2032 Total in migration: 3,086 2031 Total in migration: 3,129 2030 Total in migration: 3,107 2029 Total in migration: 3,069 2028 Total in migration: 3,045 2027 Total in migration: 2,996 2026 Total in migration: 2,971 2025 Total in migration: 2,931 2024 Total in migration: 2,887 2023 Total in migration: 2,852 2022 Total in migration: 2,756 2021 Total in migration: 2,748 2020 Total in migration: 2,693 2019 Total in migration: 2,641 2018 Total in migration: 2,662 2017 Total in migration: 2,515 2041 Total net migration: 103 2040 Total net migration: 109 2039 Total net migration: 107 2038 Total net migration: 107 2037 Total net migration: 82 2036 Total net migration: 102 2035 Total net migration: 94 2034 Total net migration: 126 2033 Total net migration: 148 2032 Total net migration: 158 2031 Total net migration: 239 2030 Total net migration: 257 2029 Total net migration: 260 2028 Total net migration: 281 2027 Total net migration: 273 2026 Total net migration: 291 2025 Total net migration: 292 2024 Total net migration: 288 2023 Total net migration: 297 2022 Total net migration: 240 2021 Total net migration: 279 2020 Total net migration: 268 2019 Total net migration: 256 2018 Total net migration: 322 2017 Total net migration: 209 2041 Total out migration: 3,160 2040 Total out migration: 3,134 2039 Total out migration: 3,109 2038 Total out migration: 3,084 2037 Total out migration: 3,059 2036 Total out migration: 3,036 2035 Total out migration: 3,011 2034 Total out migration: 2,985 2033 Total out migration: 2,957 2032 Total out migration: 2,927 2031 Total out migration: 2,890 2030 Total out migration: 2,850 2029 Total out migration: 2,809 2028 Total out migration: 2,764 2027 Total out migration: 2,723 2026 Total out migration: 2,680 2025 Total out migration: 2,640 2024 Total out migration: 2,599 2023 Total out migration: 2,555 2022 Total out migration: 2,516 2021 Total out migration: 2,469 2020 Total out migration: 2,425 2019 Total out migration: 2,385 2018 Total out migration: 2,340 2017 Total out migration: 2,306 2041 Total in migration: 3,264 2040 Total in migration: 3,244 2039 Total in migration: 3,217 2038 Total in migration: 3,190 2037 Total in migration: 3,140 2036 Total in migration: 3,138 2035 Total in migration: 3,105 2034 Total in migration: 3,110 2033 Total in migration: 3,105 2032 Total in migration: 3,086 2031 Total in migration: 3,129 2030 Total in migration: 3,107 2029 Total in migration: 3,069 2028 Total in migration: 3,045 2027 Total in migration: 2,996 2026 Total in migration: 2,971 2025 Total in migration: 2,931 2024 Total in migration: 2,887 2023 Total in migration: 2,852 2022 Total in migration: 2,756 2021 Total in migration: 2,748 2020 Total in migration: 2,693 2019 Total in migration: 2,641 2018 Total in migration: 2,662 2017 Total in migration: 2,515
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
v18.05.22-1.0.0