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Goulburn MulwareePopulation forecast

Goulburn (Central - South)

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Goulburn (Central - South) indicate a 0.2% decrease in population under working age, a 0.2% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 7.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Goulburn Mulwaree is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Goulburn (Central - South) - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41485.71515.61645.7+15
5 to 91254.81244.61304.5+5
10 to 141576.11545.71555.4-2
15 to 191325.11806.71786.2+47
20 to 241857.12077.72358.1+50
25 to 292298.82388.82649.1+35
30 to 341666.41806.71926.7+26
35 to 391495.81455.41575.4+8
40 to 441104.31395.21434.9+32
45 to 491626.21224.51445.0-17
50 to 541375.31706.31585.5+20
55 to 591847.11605.91665.7-19
60 to 641545.91806.71846.4+30
65 to 691395.41375.11455.0+6
70 to 741094.21274.71435.0+34
75 to 791044.0943.51073.7+3
80 to 84963.7873.2993.4+3
85 and over1054.01074.01244.3+19
Total persons2,593100.02,703100.02,888100.0+295
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Goulburn (Central - South) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 48 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 238 persons.

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