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Goulburn MulwareePopulation forecast

Goulburn (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Goulburn (North) indicate a 28.4% increase in population under working age, a 29.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Goulburn (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Goulburn (North) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45628.86597.87947.6+232
5 to 95408.46677.97947.6+254
10 to 144396.96527.77637.3+324
15 to 193966.25876.96986.7+302
20 to 244146.54885.86236.0+209
25 to 294567.15256.26476.2+191
30 to 344477.05796.86826.5+235
35 to 394497.06337.57427.1+293
40 to 443906.16217.37447.1+354
45 to 493555.55696.77076.8+352
50 to 543635.74395.26005.7+237
55 to 593144.93824.55345.1+220
60 to 642994.73924.64664.5+167
65 to 692884.53574.24304.1+142
70 to 742493.93323.94204.0+171
75 to 791612.52573.03223.1+161
80 to 841051.61842.22512.4+146
85 and over1712.71321.62202.1+49
Total persons6,398100.08,453100.010,437100.0+4,039
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Goulburn (North) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 231 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 667 persons.

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