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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Canning Vale (South)

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Canning Vale (South) is forecast to grow from 4,091 in 2016 to 4,137 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 3.05 to 2.85 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Canning Vale (South). The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Canning Vale (South)Forecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population13,24213,10512,83712,66512,538
Change in population (5yrs)---137-267-172-127
Average annual change---0.21%-0.41%-0.27%-0.20%
Households4,0824,1224,1224,1244,123
Average household size3.052.982.922.882.85
Population in non private dwellings804804804804804
Dwellings4,0914,1374,1374,1374,137
Dwelling occupancy rate99.7899.6499.6499.6999.66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Canning Vale (South) was estimated to be 13,242 people. It is expected to decrease by over 577 people to 12,665 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of -0.44%. This is based on an increase of over 42 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.05 to 2.88 by 2026.

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