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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Gosnells (Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Gosnells (Central) indicate a 8.8% increase in males under working age, a 1.5% increase in males of retirement age, and a 14.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Gosnells is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Gosnells (Central) - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44947.04936.37666.6+272
5 to 94766.74876.27256.3+249
10 to 144165.95286.77236.2+307
15 to 193274.66077.77906.8+463
20 to 245117.26237.98307.2+320
25 to 294806.84836.27616.6+281
30 to 344977.04896.28137.0+315
35 to 394846.85276.78927.7+408
40 to 444616.55156.67746.7+313
45 to 494396.24826.16585.7+220
50 to 544436.34345.56245.4+182
55 to 593625.14295.55935.1+231
60 to 643244.63734.85394.7+216
65 to 693084.43754.84964.3+188
70 to 743504.93284.24313.7+82
75 to 792623.72483.24023.5+140
80 to 842243.22403.13883.3+164
85 and over2123.01852.43753.2+163
Total persons7,068100.07,847100.011,580100.0+4,512
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Gosnells (Central) was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.2% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 280 and account for 7.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 623 males.

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