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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Canning Vale (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Canning Vale (North) indicate a 51.9% decrease in males under working age, a 25.5% increase in males of retirement age, and a 45.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Gosnells is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canning Vale (North) - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44347.92133.32002.9-234
5 to 95479.92123.21852.7-362
10 to 144127.52453.71742.5-238
15 to 193977.23705.62133.1-184
20 to 243927.16449.85357.7+143
25 to 293416.276611.772410.4+383
30 to 343847.066310.169910.0+315
35 to 3954910.06189.473810.6+189
40 to 444748.66369.76879.9+213
45 to 494197.66009.16429.2+223
50 to 542795.14566.95387.7+259
55 to 592614.73405.24756.8+214
60 to 641763.22573.93995.7+223
65 to 691683.12073.12753.9+107
70 to 741142.11121.71742.5+60
75 to 79761.41011.51301.9+54
80 to 84440.8731.1951.4+51
85 and over330.6530.8901.3+57
Total persons5,500100.06,566100.06,972100.0+1,472
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Canning Vale (North) was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 425 and account for 11.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 766 males.

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