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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Canning Vale (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canning Vale (North) indicate a 5.9% decrease in males under working age, a 55.7% increase in males of retirement age, and a 5.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Canning Vale (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canning Vale (North) - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44838.94367.64177.3-66
5 to 95029.34618.04307.6-72
10 to 144297.94337.53926.9-37
15 to 193927.24087.13726.5-20
20 to 243887.24227.44077.2+19
25 to 293887.24297.54147.3+26
30 to 344788.84407.74227.4-56
35 to 394768.84027.03866.8-90
40 to 444528.43696.43375.9-115
45 to 493536.53756.53295.8-24
50 to 543105.73846.73295.8+19
55 to 591963.63265.73295.8+133
60 to 641993.72814.93205.6+121
65 to 691572.91833.22664.7+109
70 to 74881.61592.82203.9+132
75 to 79751.41162.01412.5+66
80 to 84280.5601.01051.8+77
85 and over180.3520.9781.4+60
Total persons5,412100.05,735100.05,694100.0+282
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Canning Vale (North) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 130 and account for 5.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 461 males.

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