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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

City of Gosnells

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Gosnells indicate a 19.4% increase in females under working age, a 44.0% increase in females of retirement age, and a 18.5% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Gosnells is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Gosnells - Total females201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,5197.65,1387.15,7076.8+1,188
5 to 94,1126.94,8946.75,5426.6+1,430
10 to 143,6826.24,6736.45,3076.3+1,625
15 to 193,7666.34,6676.45,3496.4+1,583
20 to 244,1006.95,1297.15,9257.1+1,825
25 to 294,7287.95,7407.96,5317.8+1,803
30 to 345,1648.75,6577.86,4597.7+1,295
35 to 394,5247.65,2547.26,0437.2+1,519
40 to 444,1186.94,9216.85,5466.6+1,428
45 to 493,9246.64,5886.35,1976.2+1,273
50 to 543,4855.84,2385.84,7945.7+1,309
55 to 593,2765.53,8695.34,3745.2+1,098
60 to 642,9064.93,3264.63,9054.7+999
65 to 692,5074.22,9944.13,5044.2+997
70 to 741,7132.92,6393.63,0833.7+1,370
75 to 791,3262.22,1823.02,6583.2+1,332
80 to 849041.51,3921.92,0412.4+1,137
85 and over8761.51,3461.91,9342.3+1,058
Total persons59,630100.072,646100.083,898100.0+24,268
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for females in the City of Gosnells was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 1,029 and account for 7.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 5,740 females.

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