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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Gosnells (Balance)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Gosnells (Balance) indicate a 40.2% increase in males under working age, a 116.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 40.0% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Gosnells (Balance) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Gosnells (Balance) - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43359.05289.87399.8+404
5 to 93449.34418.26718.9+327
10 to 142737.43666.85657.5+292
15 to 192336.33656.85046.7+271
20 to 243208.64027.55116.8+191
25 to 292506.74889.15927.9+342
30 to 343509.454110.16708.9+320
35 to 393068.34298.06478.6+341
40 to 442607.03466.45617.5+301
45 to 491794.82815.24425.9+263
50 to 542256.12624.93404.5+115
55 to 591865.02043.82683.6+82
60 to 642045.52013.72393.2+35
65 to 691373.71713.22102.8+73
70 to 74571.51753.32062.7+149
75 to 79250.71092.01612.1+136
80 to 84150.4340.61091.5+94
85 and over70.2320.6700.9+63
Total persons3,706100.05,373100.07,504100.0+3,798
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Gosnells (Balance) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 238 and account for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 541 males.

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