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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Kenwick

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Kenwick indicate a 3.4% increase in population under working age, a 47.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Gosnells is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Kenwick - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)4217.14175.84895.8+68
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)60010.25928.26547.7+54
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)4287.35908.25927.0+164
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)5599.584311.787110.3+312
Young workforce (25 to 34)84514.31,06314.71,24414.7+399
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,27821.71,54221.41,70220.1+424
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)75212.778410.996911.4+217
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5369.15928.27939.4+257
Seniors (70 to 84)4267.26609.185810.1+432
Elderly aged (85 and over)581.01361.93053.6+247
Total persons5,903100.07,218100.08,478100.0+2,575
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Kenwick was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 21.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24), which is expected to increase by 284 and account for 11.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 1,542 persons.

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