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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

City of Gosnells

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for City of Gosnells indicate a 0.1% decrease in population under working age, a 3.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Gosnells is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Gosnells - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222036Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)9,0136.98,8786.79,0885.7+75
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)13,27510.113,31410.012,4647.8-811
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)10,1957.810,4897.911,5797.2+1,384
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)12,0749.212,0939.117,31410.8+5,240
Young workforce (25 to 34)18,57314.118,43813.923,37314.6+4,800
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)29,32522.329,70622.433,69321.0+4,368
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)15,14811.515,36311.619,61612.2+4,468
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)11,8849.012,1359.114,0988.8+2,214
Seniors (70 to 84)9,9837.610,4237.815,3159.5+5,332
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,9111.52,0071.54,0462.5+2,135
Total persons131,381100.0132,845100.0160,586100.0+29,205
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in City of Gosnells was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 22.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 440 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 29,706 persons.

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