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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Southern River (West)

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Southern River (West) is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Gosnells depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Significant net migration gain in the period 2016-26 in most age groups, driven by development. The level of gain declines post 2021 as the rate of development slows and the area approaches completion, with small losses in older families
  • Major gain in young and mature families (0-19 and 20-49 years), although there is a slight loss in older families (10-14 and 35-39 years), especially post 2021, as households that have moved into the area during the earlier phase of development begin to access housing elsewhere as their needs change
  • Gain in empty-nester and retiree age groups (50-69 years)

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