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City of GosnellsPopulation forecast

Canning Vale (North)

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Canning Vale (North) is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Gosnells depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A loss of people in most age groups as the area has recently completed its development phase and new building opportunties are very limited
  • A net loss of families (0-14 and 30-49 years), increasing over the period as earlier migrants to the area upgrade their housing by accessing residential dwellings elsewhere
  • A small gain in young homemakers ands first-time homebuyers (20-29 years) moving in as housing becomes available (most likely as families upgrade to housing el;sewhere)
  • Loss of empty nesters and early retirees (50-69 years)
  • A small loss overtime through migration in retirees and older persons (aged 75+ years), as earlier migrants to the areas age and move out of the family home to alternative accomodation elsewhere

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