City of GosnellsPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Gosnells

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Gosnells is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Gosnells depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions: influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas, namely Canning Vale (North), Canning Vale (South), Southern River (East) and Southern River (West), are expected to attract predominantly young couples, young and established families
  • Gain in young adults (18-24 years) in established areas such as Maddington, Huntingdale and Kenwick
  • Gain in mature and older families in the rural residential areas of the City
  • Loss of empty-nesters (55-64 years)
  • Relatively little net change through migration in older age groups (70+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -197 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -150 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -35 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -117 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -235 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -317 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -148 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -48 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -139 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -140 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 422 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 1,709 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,967 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,162 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 47 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 49 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 593 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -116 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -151 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -255 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 87 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -98 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 545 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,618 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,016 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,198 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -92 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -18 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -133 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -170 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -165 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 189 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 193 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -356 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 446 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,038 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,201 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,492 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 362 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 162 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 513 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -197 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -150 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -35 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -117 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -235 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -317 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -148 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -48 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -139 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -140 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 422 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 1,709 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,967 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,162 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 47 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 49 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 593 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -116 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -151 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -255 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 87 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -98 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 545 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,618 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,016 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,198 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -92 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -18 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -133 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -170 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -165 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 189 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 193 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -356 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 446 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,038 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,201 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,492 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 362 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 162 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 513
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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