Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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Bannockburn

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Bannockburn will increase by an average of 95 dwellings per annum to 3,650 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Golden Plains Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Willowbrae Estate Bannockburn - 48 dwellings (2012-2021)
  • Kelly Estate - 20 dwellings (2012-2021)
  • Rural Living Precinct 3 - 42 dwellings (2012-2023)
  • Priority Residential Development - Somerset Estate - 684 dwellings (2012-2028)
  • Low Density Residential - 100 dwellings (2012-2029)
  • Debonair Retreat - 15 dwellings (2015-2023)
  • Prority Res Dev Precinct 1 - 520 dwellings (2018-2036)
  • Rural Living Precinct 2 - 33 dwellings (2019-2036)
  • Priority Residential Development West - 808 dwellings (2020-2036)
  • Low level of Infill development (3-5 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 3,650 2035 Total dwellings: 3,542 2034 Total dwellings: 3,434 2033 Total dwellings: 3,326 2032 Total dwellings: 3,218 2031 Total dwellings: 3,110 2030 Total dwellings: 3,002 2029 Total dwellings: 2,902 2028 Total dwellings: 2,806 2027 Total dwellings: 2,709 2026 Total dwellings: 2,613 2025 Total dwellings: 2,522 2024 Total dwellings: 2,430 2023 Total dwellings: 2,339 2022 Total dwellings: 2,249 2021 Total dwellings: 2,152 2020 Total dwellings: 2,065 2019 Total dwellings: 1,977 2018 Total dwellings: 1,895 2017 Total dwellings: 1,822 2036 Total dwellings: 3,650 2035 Total dwellings: 3,542 2034 Total dwellings: 3,434 2033 Total dwellings: 3,326 2032 Total dwellings: 3,218 2031 Total dwellings: 3,110 2030 Total dwellings: 3,002 2029 Total dwellings: 2,902 2028 Total dwellings: 2,806 2027 Total dwellings: 2,709 2026 Total dwellings: 2,613 2025 Total dwellings: 2,522 2024 Total dwellings: 2,430 2023 Total dwellings: 2,339 2022 Total dwellings: 2,249 2021 Total dwellings: 2,152 2020 Total dwellings: 2,065 2019 Total dwellings: 1,977 2018 Total dwellings: 1,895 2017 Total dwellings: 1,822 2036 Forecast development: 108 2035 Forecast development: 108 2034 Forecast development: 108 2033 Forecast development: 108 2032 Forecast development: 108 2031 Forecast development: 108 2030 Forecast development: 100 2029 Forecast development: 96 2028 Forecast development: 97 2027 Forecast development: 96 2026 Forecast development: 91 2025 Forecast development: 92 2024 Forecast development: 91 2023 Forecast development: 90 2022 Forecast development: 97 2021 Forecast development: 87 2020 Forecast development: 88 2019 Forecast development: 82 2018 Forecast development: 73 2017 Forecast development: 76
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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