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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 14.7% increase in males under working age, a 44.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 15.5% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total males201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47606.79076.71,5947.4+834
5 to 99628.51,0567.81,7258.1+763
10 to 148907.91,0327.71,6397.7+749
15 to 198057.19166.81,4016.5+596
20 to 245695.06815.11,1805.5+611
25 to 295104.56464.81,1815.5+671
30 to 345835.27195.31,3166.1+733
35 to 397126.38226.11,4216.6+709
40 to 448827.89166.81,4716.9+589
45 to 498697.79527.11,4116.6+542
50 to 547756.99577.11,3256.2+550
55 to 597656.88906.61,2335.8+468
60 to 647166.38005.91,1415.3+425
65 to 696465.77325.41,0494.9+403
70 to 744263.86174.68974.2+471
75 to 792342.14603.46753.2+441
80 to 841171.02401.84712.2+354
85 and over730.61060.82811.3+208
Total persons11,294100.013,449100.021,413100.0+10,119
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Golden Plains Shire was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 226 and account for 3.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,056 males.

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