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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 5.8% increase in males under working age, a 15.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 7.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48226.49416.81,6157.5+793
5 to 91,0198.01,0477.61,7368.1+717
10 to 141,0888.51,1108.01,6927.9+604
15 to 198796.99837.11,4406.7+561
20 to 246214.96975.01,1605.4+539
25 to 295904.66664.81,1935.6+603
30 to 347415.87945.71,3976.5+656
35 to 397786.18636.21,4446.7+666
40 to 448036.38576.21,3846.4+581
45 to 499607.59006.51,3466.3+386
50 to 549277.29817.11,2916.0+364
55 to 598216.49256.71,2065.6+385
60 to 647856.18225.91,1245.2+339
65 to 697415.87615.51,0825.0+341
70 to 746034.76774.99454.4+342
75 to 793522.84953.67243.4+372
80 to 841831.42271.64602.1+277
85 and over860.71000.72461.1+160
Total persons12,799100.013,845100.021,485100.0+8,686
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Golden Plains Shire was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 143 and account for 3.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,110 males.

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