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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 0.4% increase in population under working age, a 3.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons202120222032Change between 2021 and 2032
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,5806.41,6236.42,2987.1+718
5 to 91,9998.02,0027.92,4787.7+479
10 to 142,0028.01,9817.82,3857.4+383
15 to 191,6686.71,7506.92,0516.3+383
20 to 241,1374.61,1564.61,6405.1+503
25 to 291,1154.51,1354.51,7455.4+630
30 to 341,4745.91,4925.92,0546.3+580
35 to 391,6706.71,6876.72,1646.7+494
40 to 441,6646.71,6736.62,1256.6+461
45 to 491,8397.41,7937.12,0986.5+259
50 to 541,8287.31,9137.62,0156.2+187
55 to 591,6536.61,6706.61,9826.1+329
60 to 641,5496.21,5866.31,9586.1+409
65 to 691,3925.61,4185.61,6705.2+278
70 to 741,1084.51,1394.51,4334.4+325
75 to 796322.57032.81,1453.5+513
80 to 843361.43461.47032.2+367
85 and over2330.92240.93951.2+162
Total persons24,879100.025,290100.032,339100.0+7,460
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Golden Plains Shire was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 85 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,002 persons.

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