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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Bannockburn

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bannockburn indicate a 22.0% increase in females under working age, a 17.7% increase in females of retirement age, and a 23.5% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bannockburn - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42457.93128.28628.5+617
5 to 92939.43178.38608.5+567
10 to 142207.12967.87387.3+518
15 to 191775.71935.15785.7+401
20 to 241033.31604.25335.2+430
25 to 291735.62135.66986.9+525
30 to 342488.03017.98648.5+616
35 to 392788.93398.98878.7+609
40 to 442508.03007.97617.5+512
45 to 492126.82556.76316.2+419
50 to 541876.02225.85315.2+345
55 to 591324.32015.34784.7+345
60 to 641334.31544.04304.2+298
65 to 691334.31403.73733.7+240
70 to 741163.71373.63133.1+197
75 to 79802.61253.32602.6+179
80 to 84622.0711.91981.9+136
85 and over672.1661.71681.7+102
Total persons3,109100.03,801100.010,163100.0+7,054
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Bannockburn was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.4% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 76 and account for 7.8% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 339 females.

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