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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 10.8% increase in females under working age, a 49.7% increase in females of retirement age, and a 16.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total females201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47597.18196.41,4647.0+705
5 to 98387.89527.41,5937.7+755
10 to 148688.19617.51,5097.3+641
15 to 197126.68106.31,2806.2+568
20 to 244754.46264.91,0815.2+606
25 to 294784.55984.71,1475.5+669
30 to 346896.47415.81,3946.7+705
35 to 397306.88606.71,5027.2+772
40 to 448307.79477.41,5027.2+672
45 to 498588.09287.21,4086.8+550
50 to 547777.28987.01,2826.2+505
55 to 597416.98937.01,2386.0+497
60 to 646616.28086.31,1415.5+480
65 to 695645.36965.41,0144.9+450
70 to 743293.15364.28224.0+493
75 to 791851.73833.06223.0+437
80 to 841061.02001.64452.1+339
85 and over1221.11401.13351.6+213
Total persons10,722100.012,794100.020,780100.0+10,058
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for females in Golden Plains Shire was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 207 and account for 4.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 961 females.

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